|
Fixed
Odds.
It is customary with fixed-odds gambling to
know the odds at the time of the placement of the wager (the "live
price"), although this category also includes wagers whose price is
determined only when the race or game starts (the "starting prices"). It
is ideal for a bookmaker to price up a book such that the net outcome will
always be in his favour, i.e. the sum of the probabilities quoted for all
possible outcomes will be in excess of 100%.
The excess over 100% (or Overround)
represents profit to the bookmaker in the event of a balanced book. In the
more usual case of an imbalanced book, the bookmaker may have to pay out
more winnings than what is staked, or he may earn more than mathematically
expected. An imbalanced book may arise since there is no way for a
bookmaker either to know the true probabilities for the outcome of
competitions left to human effort or to predict the bets that will be
attracted from others by fixed odds compiled on the basis of his own
personal view and knowledge.
With the advent of Internet and bet
exchange betting, the possibility of fixed-odds (Arbitrage
- See below) actions and Dutch books against bookmakers and exchanges
has expanded significantly. Betting exchanges in particular act like a
stock exchange, allowing the odds to be set in the course of trading
between individual bettors, usually leading to quoted odds that are
reasonably close to the "true odds."
Asian Handicap (named so simply
because of its Eastern origins) is a gambling term used to describe spread
betting in soccer that has gained popularity over the years. The handicaps
typically range from one quarter goal to several goals and can be
described in terms of half or even quarter goals.
Most importantly, Asian Handicap betting
reduces the possible number of outcomes from three (in traditional 1-X-2
wagering) to two by eliminating the draw outcome. This simplification
delivers two betting options that each have a near 50% chance of success.
Asian Handicaps are both good and bad for
bookmakers. On one hand, they help bookmakers minimize risk by
facilitating trading with parity or balancing the amount of wagering on
each side of the match. This enables bookmakers to take larger positions
on major matches. On the other hand, Asian Handicap markets are typically
low margin offerings that do not contribute as significantly to the gross
win as other betting options.
Arbitrage
Betting arbitrage, surebets, sports arbitraging is a particular case of
arbitrage arising on betting markets due to either bookmakers' different
opinions on event outcomes or plain errors. By placing one bet per each
outcome with different betting companies, the bettor can make a profit. As
long as different Bookmakers are used for arbitrage betting the Bookmakers
do not have a problem with this. Each Bookmaker will still make profit due
to their calculations.
In the bettors' slang an arbitrage is often referred to as an arb; people
who use arbitrage are called arbers. A typical arb is around 2%, often
less, however 4%-5% are also normal and during some special events they
might reach 20%.
Arbitrage Betting involves relatively large sums of money (stakes are
bigger than in normal betting) while another variety, betting investment,
means placing relatively small bets systematically on overvalued odds most
of which will lose but some win thus making a profit.
The best way of generating profit, which has been established in Britain
via sports arbitrage, consists of 'key men' employing others to place bets
on their behalf, so as to avoid detection and increase accessibility to
bookmakers. This allows the financiers or key arbers to stay at a computer
to keep track of market movement.
|